Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.024904 0.027378 0.029837 0.032458 0.035168 0.037882 0.040802
2025-02-02 0.020061 0.024015 0.028068 0.032507 0.037205 0.042010 0.047273
2025-02-09 0.016085 0.020908 0.025997 0.031698 0.037848 0.044234 0.051323
2025-02-16 0.013744 0.019230 0.025164 0.031934 0.039341 0.047120 0.055834
2025-02-23 0.011655 0.017603 0.024196 0.031846 0.040326 0.049317 0.059466
2025-03-02 0.009780 0.016039 0.023156 0.031554 0.040973 0.051046 0.062496
2025-03-09 0.008265 0.014760 0.022337 0.031416 0.041707 0.052798 0.065478
2025-03-16 0.006638 0.013197 0.021082 0.030697 0.041722 0.053698 0.067471
2025-03-23 0.005629 0.012322 0.020580 0.030790 0.042600 0.055507 0.070415
2025-03-30 0.004505 0.011182 0.019686 0.030370 0.042853 0.056582 0.072515
2025-04-06 0.003386 0.009912 0.018557 0.029617 0.042677 0.057141 0.074009
2025-04-13 0.002217 0.008376 0.016997 0.028281 0.041778 0.056848 0.074522
2025-04-20 0.001779 0.008024 0.017066 0.029059 0.043504 0.059701 0.078751
2025-04-27 0.001153 0.007225 0.016528 0.029109 0.044418 0.061687 0.082083
2025-05-04 0.000490 0.006044 0.015373 0.028337 0.044323 0.062498 0.084074
2025-05-11 0.000202 0.005480 0.015035 0.028562 0.045388 0.064612 0.087507
2025-05-18 0.000015 0.004814 0.014486 0.028479 0.046054 0.066243 0.090372
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004115 0.013816 0.028199 0.046455 0.067543 0.092838
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003542 0.013283 0.028067 0.047010 0.069003 0.095466
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002797 0.012369 0.027381 0.046855 0.069612 0.097104
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002420 0.012043 0.027469 0.047641 0.071305 0.099965
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001906 0.011386 0.027069 0.047797 0.072243 0.101943
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001354 0.010532 0.026350 0.047527 0.072658 0.103305